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Turns Out: The worried ones are ahead

By Susan Leave a Comment

September 2026  ·  Issue 1
Turns out the agencies struggling the most have committed to a niche more often than the ones betting everything on AI.
We segmented 434 agency leaders by what they believe rather than by how big they are or how long they’ve been open, and three groups came back.
The three faces
AI-Opportunity Embracers, 35%. The largest group. They read AI as the force reshaping this business and believe their clients expect them to lead on it — 80% of them say so, against 52% of agency leaders overall. The AI-forward wing of the industry, and middling on optimism — 55% feel optimistic about their agency’s opportunities, against 53% of agency leaders overall.
Confident Differentiators, 33%. They have a distinct position and they say so publicly. 72% agree their agency is well-positioned to succeed, and they are the calmest read in the study on AI and on fees.
Pressured & Uncertain, 32%. Every pressure in the study lands hardest here. Only 23% feel well-positioned, and 49% call AI a major threat to their tactical revenue — more than double the rest of the industry.

What you would expect is a clean line running from settled to struggling: the Confident Differentiators furthest along on committing to a niche, the Embracers somewhere behind them, and the Pressured & Uncertain last, still working out what they are for.

What the data says is that that assumption is right about the Differentiators, and wrong about the Uncertain.

Two bar groups by agency segment. Committed to a niche position: Confident Differentiators 70 percent, Pressured & Uncertain 41 percent, AI-Opportunity Embracers 26 percent. Good at identifying changes we need to make: Confident Differentiators 49 percent, AI-Opportunity Embracers 46 percent, Pressured & Uncertain 29 percent.

The Pressured & Uncertain have committed to a niche in their marketing more often than the AI-Opportunity Embracers have, and it hasn’t rescued them yet — 67% of them still say finding new clients is harder than ever, against 42% of agency leaders overall. They did the part everybody tells you is the hard part, and the phone didn’t start ringing.

Now look at what the AI-Opportunity Embracers are doing instead. Barely a quarter of them have committed to a niche, and they are the group most convinced their clients expect them to lead on AI. My read is that AI has become their position — the answer they reach for when a prospect asks what makes them different. Every agency can buy the same tools. Whatever that is, it is not something a client can choose between.

The Pressured & Uncertain have the opposite problem. The hard choice is already made. What they are missing is a direction to take it in, and reading AI as a threat to their revenue rather than as something to build on leaves them with a position they cannot move forward.

The second half of the chart is where that shows up. They are the least likely of the three to say they are good at identifying the changes their agency needs to make, and the most likely to say big changes are needed at all — 40% of them, against 17% of Confident Differentiators.

 
Susan’s Take

I will put myself in this one, cheerfully. We spend our days making other people’s expertise legible and leave our own in a folder marked FINAL_v3.

So this is not a story about the clever agencies and the struggling ones. If you recognize yourself in the Pressured & Uncertain, you have probably thought harder about your position than the people who look settled from outside. What you are short of is a direction you are willing to point at in public, and that is cheaper than the thinking you have already done.

If a lot has been sitting on your list for a year, don’t rank it. Put these three to your team out loud:

  • Which of these would a prospect actually notice in the first thirty seconds on our site? Start there. Everything else stays invisible until that one is done.
  • Which one have we already decided twice? A decision you keep re-making is usually one nobody outside the room was ever told about.
  • What would we have to stop saying to make room for it? If nothing comes off the list, nothing has really been chosen.

Pick the one with the shortest answer and give it the quarter.

See the research
Or take the 2-minute quiz and see how your read on the industry compares with 434 agency leaders.
Susan

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Filed Under: Turns Out Tagged With: #research

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